Download Acceptable Risk Processes: Lifelines and Natural Hazards by Eric VanMarcke PDF

By Eric VanMarcke

This document offers the important instruments engineers and selection makers have to greater comprehend applicable possibility tactics and the way these tactics can permit them to improve hazard relief recommendations and enforce mitigation activities to lessen lifeline losses from destiny earthquakes. as the disruption of lifelines from usual dangers has a right away impression at the world’s local economies and the future health of its electorate, it is very important comprehend usual risks, how they could effect lifelines, and what will be performed to reduce the impression once they happen. those 3 components and the methods used to behave upon them impact judgements that contain appropriate probability procedures. the subject of 'acceptable chance' offers a technique of bringing built-in platforms probability reviews for catastrophe explicitly right into a decision-making context. issues contain technical concerns; threat standards matters; and communique, management, and rules matters

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The other variable is water level or stage, because flood damage is related to it rather than to flow. Thus, three random variables are to be dealt with: the flood peak discharge Q, the corresponding flood stage H, and the corresponding flood damage D. , a rating curve) at the nearby gauge, (2) a relationship between stage and the corresponding flood damage, and (3) a relationship between the dollar value and damage. From the data available at the nearby gauge, the rating curve (the relationship between H and Q) is given as shown in Fig.

Computation of the weighted sum of flood damages or the EMV of flood damages. The same procedure can be applied when working with utility dollars. 4 For flood protection, many measures are employed, depending upon the situation at hand. Such measures include structural measures, nonstructural measures, and a combination thereof. Structural measures may include construction of a dam, dykes, levees, a diversion structure, or a drainage system. Nonstructural measures may include land use management, water harvesting, afforestation, and soil conservation.

Thus, it is concluded that option A is the best choice for the plant owner. 30 Risk and Reliability Analysis Table E1-6a Costs associated with different alternatives. 8 = 15,360 20,000 35,360 Table E1-6b Real and utility dollars. 6 Sources of Uncertainties There are many causes of uncertainty in a system that interacts with nature. The major cause of uncertainty in the behavior of environment-related systems involve rapid fluctuations in space and time, which are inherent features of natural processes.

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